Simon Mainwaring
My Thoughts on Economic Issues
Friday, September 20, 2013
Centralization to Decentralization and now Collaborative Working Systems: Evolution is ever present!
Simon Mainwaring
Cost Reduction
through Collaborative Procurement
Enhancement of Procurement
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Barclays’ offshore banking license set to be withdrawn: Part Two
I don’t often do this, but I only want to “free my mind” before I run amok on the streets of Accra. Please allow me to “free my mind” on the perceived idea , “hear-say” or rumour that the Bank of Ghana intends to withdraw the only offshore Banking License in Ghana.
What is Offshore Banking?
An offshore bank is a bank located outside the country of residence of the depositor, typically in a low tax jurisdiction that provides financial and legal advantages. These advantages typically include:
· greater privacy (bank secrecy, a principle born with the 1934 Swiss Banking Act)
· easy access to deposits (at least in terms of regulation)
· protection against local political or financial instability
In the 21st century, regulation of offshore banking is allegedly increasing, although critics maintain it remains largely insufficient. The quality of the regulation is monitored by supra-national bodies such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Banks are generally required to maintain capital adequacy in accordance with international standards. They must report at least quarterly to the regulator on the current state of the business.
Reasons?
I heard they had reasons for this. Are they reasons or excuses?
One: the country, Ghana was not ready for offshore banking
Two: the country could be a haven for money launderers
Three: they are not keen on the advantages of the service
I will tackle the first two reasons concerning the risk of money launderers infiltrating the offshore business in Ghana. I believe the advantages of the offshore business have been stated in the first part of this article, and I leave readers to judge if we should be keen on it or not. Do we need international investments in our country especially as we required more funds to finance our oil sector?. How much credit can our financial institutions grant to finance oil businesses? Is the Bank of Ghana keen to have local Banks meeting the funding requirements of the oil businesses or we want foreign banks to finance and enjoy the returns? I’m just thinking aloud!
At It’s establishment
At the inauguration of the first and only International Financial Services Centre in West Africa, Ms Catherine Addo ( Head Offshore Banking of Barclays Bank) said although offshore banking could be a potential avenue for money laundering, Barclays Bank had put in place a rigorous system and procedures to ensure that such monies did not find their way into the system.
The Bank, she said, was drawing on the expertise of its staff in London and Mauritius (weher such services are being operated) to ensure the smooth take-off of the operations. Mr Dela Selormey, Head of Banking Supervision of Bank of Ghana, said the Bank had in place a sound regulatory environment to ensure a smooth take-off.
Prior to the issuance of the license to Barclays, the Bank of Ghana amended the Banking Act to create a regulatory cover over the IFSC (offshore banking operations). With a regulatory cover in place, an Anti-Money Laundering Act, 2008 (Act 749) was enacted to prevent and fight anti-money laundering.
Thus, currently, Ghana has a Financial Intelligence Centre which was set-up under the new Anti-Money Laundering Act, 2008 (Act 749), to help prevent abuse of Ghana's financial system by money launderers, in order to preserve the country's strong reputation in the wake of concerns raised by the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) when the offshore banking service was established in the country.
After putting in place al these laws and structures to make it work, why would the BoG decided to terminate such services? Is it an issue that our laws and institutions are not working, hence we want to curb offshore banking? or We don’t understand the business model?
Barclays’ offshore banking license set to be withdrawn: Part One
FINANCIAL SERVICES CENTRE AND OFFSHORE BANKING IN GHANA: BARCLAYS BANK GHANA LIMITED EXPERIENCE
The main benefit of Offshore Banking is its attraction for foreign deposits in foreign currencies. Barclays intends to attract large volumes of deposits, which will form the basis of developing more lending solutions to Ghana’s private sector, and will help generate employment and create wealth.
Other benefits that could be derived from an offshore financial service centre are Aircraft Financing and Leasing, Ship Registration, Trust Incorporations, Assets Management, Insurance, Pension Funds, Consultancy Services etc, are all activities that can be conducted in an IFSC.
Looking at the operations of international financial services across the world, we see a very positive impact on the banking environment and the economy in general.
In Mauritius for example, the number of people employed in the Offshore sector is over 1500. Output per employee is assessed as higher than in other sectors. This indicates high productivity and efficiency. It has contributed to the development of knowledge and skills and helped Mauritius to integrate with the world economy. Indirect benefits did include a significant rise in the business of accountants, lawyers, chartered secretaries among others.
Total Offshore Banking Units (OBUs) deposits rose from USD 390 million in 1994 to USD 606 million in 1996 and loans and advances from USD 140 million to USD 159 million. OBUs registered an increase in profits in 1995 of around 57%, and 44% in 1996 to reach USD10 million. Total assets increased by 28% to USD 859 million.
The tourism sector also benefited from international visitors. Other contributions of the sector to GDP is reflected in rental of office space, telecommunication charges and other local expenditures including rent for housing and payment for services e.g. drivers etc
As at now, there are 28,991 offshore companies registered in Mauritius. Annual fees generated by these companies are around USD 15 million. This does not include those generated by Management Companies through services they offer, all of which are remunerated in foreign currency. The direct benefits of an offshore centre are in foreign currency.
Gross revenues for 1997 from the offshore sector amounted to USD 77 million. The value-added generated by three operators was estimated at USD 30 million, representing direct contribution of 0.85 % of GDP or 7.7% of financial services sector GDP. However, the various direct and indirect benefits of the offshore sector were calculated to be 2.5% of GDP, representing 22% of the financial services sector GDP.
A centre like Bermuda, with a population of under 70,000 people, has about 28% of the world’s captive insurance market with 1,491 insurance companies having assets worth over $290 billion. Its banks hold assets worth over $22 billion. Financial services represent 26% of GDP. Cayman Islands houses 312 banks with assets of over $1trillion. Financial services represent 30% of the Islands GDP.
Banks in the British Virgin Island hold assets worth over $2.4 billion. Fees from registration and licensing of offshore companies account for over 50% of total government revenue.
The banking facility provided here today will support the enormous financial activity that is expected with the creation of Ghana’s IFSC.
The IFSC is good news not only for banks but for all other non-bank financial institutions, for example the tax authorities, the Registrar of Companies, the Insurance Board, the Securities Exchange Commission, etc. The legal structures that are set up will attract a lot of offshore companies to do business in this jurisdiction.
What makes a good financial services centre are factors such as good regulatory systems; a good international reputation; a good banking system; a stable political environment; and finally, a strategic geographic position – all of which Ghana also have.
Thursday, November 11, 2010
My thoughts after the Press Release on the "Rebasing of the GDP Estimates of Ghana".
I have come to learn that "rebasing" is replacing the old base year used for compiling the constant price estimates to a new and more recent base year. It's worth noting that Ghana had relied on 1993 as the base year till date, implying our GDP had been estimated based on 1993 prices eg. we all recall how expensive mobile phone chips were in those days and are now going for practically nothing, and for me, I was in JSS or something and we could buy a whole waakye meal with ¢1,000 which is GHp10.
I bet you, it's good we have stepped into realism and this "rebasing" has been done. It's unthinkable (a must watch movie) to have used a 1968 methodology all these years when a new methodology was formulated in 1993.
It's revealing....
The new estimate implies Ghana has a GDP size which is 60.3% bigger than we thought and knew, (if you don't know where you are, you wont know where you must go or how to get there). Imagine your tailor or seamstress takes your measurement and sews a dress which is 60.3% smaller than your true measurement. I guess you will look hot and it will be dressing to kill, i mean you'ld strangle yourself to death in those clothes!!..lol
Secondly, it's worth noting that despite all what we knew and i have been thought and read, that agriculture is the greatest contributor to our GDP, i was being misdirected. Ok may be just me! But what about the various government who have relied on such data? 3 different administrations and "as many as you can count" number of parliaments (anyway JJ has no excuse since the data maybe applicable more to his time 1992 to 2000).
This second point is what really lingered in my mind for long. I wondered if our nations policies had not been based on wrong diagnosis and we may be moving in the wrong directions over these various governments. "eeeiii...ey3 m)b) eeiiii", meaning it's unfortunate! walking in the dark....
Then i started wondering what will all these revelations do to us, we have oil now. I then wondered again what the Gold and all those minerals were contributing to our GDP. Mining & Quarrying contributed to 2.68% of the GDP whereas Cocoa 2.32%, Other crops excl. cocoa 17.20%, banking and insurance 3.19 %, Transport and Storage 12.15%, Trade, repair of Vehicles and household Goods (our Abossey okai oo) 6.10%. Don't be disturbed, i'me done with numbers. It's worth thinking and rethinking about our expectations of the Oil industry. Combining the cocoa and all mineral, we barely get 5% of GDP, noting that most investments made in cocoa are from Ghana and thus the returns stay in Ghana, whereas that of Mining is from foreign investors and dividends are repatriated. How much has Ghana invested in the Oil and thus my question, What good will it bring to our GDP (overall pocket). Aside recouping the capital investments as allowed by laws everywhere, most human resources to be employed will be foreigners who will send part of their income to their respective countries. Do we then need to make noise about the Oil? Or we need to resource our Abossey Okai traders who are adding 6% (more than the total of cocoa and mining)? or equip our few manufacturing firms which are contributing 7.81% and growing at 2.1%?
before i take a break on this issue, let me test my eroding mathematical brains. If all these years we thought our GDP was 60.3% smaller and we projected our year on year GDP growths at 9% 6% etc and we claimed we were growing, then what does this new data mean? Does it mean that our GDP growth is a suspect and we may not be growing at all?..lol i doubt. tofiakwa!
I rest my case now.....
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Should Bank Lending Rates Reduce just because the Prime (Policy) Rates of the Central Bank has been reduced?
What is a Prime or policy rate? Per my friend Wikipedia, the term originally indicated the rate of interest at which banks lent to favored customers, i.e., those with high credibility, though this is no longer always the case. This was articulated by the Governor of BoG in his speech as well. This is often adjusted due to changes in the macroeconomic situation of the country. Generally, Banks respond to adjustments to the prime rate as other risks may be valued and added to the prime rate (since prime rate is regarded as lending rate to a riskless person). When the prime rate thus increases, most banks increase their base lending rates and vice versa. Again base lending rates imply the prime rate+ bank admin charges+ bank interest any other the bank may wish (Wikipedia says Base Lending Rate (BLR) is a minimum interest rate calculated by financial institutions based on a formula which takes into account the institutions cost of funds and other administrative costs.)
From the above, if the prime rate is reduced, but the administrative cost is rising and the cost of funds is high, then should the bank base lending rate be reduced? If one side of the equation reduces but the others are rising, should the rate fall?
I just remembered I owned shares in some of the banks listed on our Stock Market. This means some banks are public companies, and to be listed on the Ghanaian Bourse, you must have attained a healthy financial record. Good profits resulting in favorable return on equity and others.
From discussions I have heard and read concerning the reduction of the prime rate, it’s likely many will demand for credit. But the other question is, will the increase in prime rate result in an increase in the supply of money for credit? Won’t a rise in demand for credit without a corresponding increase in supply make the cost of credit go high? Then again, the question of supply of credit arises. A bank can only supply credit based on the capital that it has. How many banks have been able to attain our $60 million capitalization requirement? Do we have the supply of credit to balance the demand for it?
Finally, I would quote from the MPC Report that announced the glorious reduction of the Prime Rate. Section 11 of the report talked about the Banking Sector Developments states that, “Non-Performing Loans continue to rise, posing some risks to the overall delivery of credit to the economy”. Section 14 also states that “Commercial Banks Real Credit to the private sector declined by 0.2% in 2009”. If Non-Performing loans rise, then there will be a negative impact on the financial health of the bank. The bank will thus reduce it’s credit and rather invest in risk free instruments like the Treasury Bills. What the MPC didn’t state was the increase in bank investment in treasury instruments as compared to the amount given as credit. That information will show the direction that the banks are heading to, and their reluctance to give out credit, hence supply of credit is reducing, whilst demand is high. It’s worth noting that bankers are smart, and they factor the amount of Non-Performing loans into the pricing of credit to customers. A high non-performing loan portfolio may increase the lending rate as we have seen the past quarters. What is causing the rise in non-performing loans? I read in the section 10 of this report about the reduction in public sector borrowing and in previous sections about the reduction in public sector spending. If suppliers of goods to the government are not paid for their services, then they won’t be able to pay for credits that they have taken on, and hence will be bad borrowers. Will the reduction of prime rate do anything much to them? Will it make them look better in the eyes of the banks that they owe?
Well, so should the reduction of the Base rate emerge due to the reduction in the Prime Rate?
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
Concluding part on the Credit crunch...It's Impact on Ghana...
The credit crunch problems are wide-ranging, with a multiplier effect that goes beyond the non-availability of credit. The issue is that credit drives an economy and it has been a useful tool in economic growth and expansion. Ghana may have been spared the direct impact of the global stock market scare but it could still experience a significant economic downturn in 2009 because of the following:
Financial aid flows will be affected due to fiscal stresses. The political choice between bailing out local factories in rich countries versus sending out aid overseas will often favour the domestic constituency. Collapsing financial flows will be disastrous for emerging markets relying on foreign money and foreign direct investment, but will only indirectly affect the poorest countries. A recent visit to a Local Bank in Ghana to try and access a mortgage loan attested to the above statements hence being my first point. Although one may be qualified for a mortgage, local banks are having difficulties in raising cash for these loans. Private funds and foreign banks which have been the source of such cash have no more to give out, especially to financial institutions outside their country.
Remittances are a major channel through which the financial crisis will affect emerging countries. Barriers against both legal and illegal workers will affect labour flows and remittances. This will hurt countries which have heavily depended on remittances. A relative in the USA who used to work 5 days a week, is now on shift so her company can cut down labour costs. This means that the little dollars which were sent down and boosted my purchasing power will now be reduced if not stopped.
Less exports. A global downturn will see a fall in demand for exports from the developing world; therefore, this will lead to lower growth. Exports from developing countries like Ghana are normally in their raw state and serve as supplies for industries in the developed countries. Lack of credit facilities and cash will thus force such industries to purchase fewer supplies and with a fall in demand for our exports, the prices will thus fall. Remember that our cocoa and currently non-traditional exports like pepper and tomatoes are perishable. Ghanaian exporters must therefore sell their produce at whatever price they can get or throw it into the garbage.
An overview of the Ghanaian economy shows that the country is currently looking at multinational corporations establishing companies in Ghana, or purchasing local ones. With no cash available, its very unlikely that there will be any huge take-overs, which my make the socialists happy, because the state wont sell anymore of it’s assets. But for the corporate world, it would mean that expansions would be delayed, and prospective institutions looking at raising capital will have to wait. To be more specific, what will be the impact of this on the Ghanaian banks? Most Ghanaian banks do not meet the new required capitalization as announced by Bank of Ghana last year, hence will have to raise capital to compete in the banking sector. Where will they get the cash other than merge? For financial institutions who will be looking at raising capital on the stock exchange like Ecobank Transnational Inc., I guess the picture looks gloomy, because stock prices of bigger banks in USA are costing cheap, $2 hence it will be better buying those that yours. This contributed to ETI not being able to meet it’s intended capitalization.
Aside all these and many more economic conditions I guess the fact still remains that with the adverse effect of the Credit crunch cookie on huge companies like Gateway broadcasting Services, Citi Group, Barclays Bank, Standard Chartered bank plc, Nokia, Caterpillar and many more, the fight against rising inflation will be more difficult in coming days than ever. Most of these multinationals provide services to their Ghanaian consumer and with reduced cash leading to a reduction in production, goods available for supply will obviously be less than the ever growing demand. Will Barclays Ghana be forced to cut down expenditure by their parent company, which has laid-off some staff already? Will the competition which led to Satellite television costing cheaper be gone?
Finally, a question to friends who owned shares in mutual funds.. the last time I checked the EPA¢K, it had moved forward from -2% to -5%. Mutual funds with huge funds will be the most hit in the country because of the fall in the global markets. In their quest to minimize risk by diversifying their port folios and investing on foreign markets, the mutual funds have eaten some credit crunch cookie plus the Piccadilly they chewed. Stocks on global markets hv fallen and yet they can’t disinvest else they loose.
My only prayer now is that the new National Pensions Act, 2008 be passed so we have an increase in the internally generated funds. For a country like Ghana, our lack of developed structures may become a blessing because pension funds will now be diversified and with asset managers being made to invest majority of the funds in Ghana, we’ll surely get some cash in the system. Cash in my pocket is the motivating factor behind my long note, and the fact that my male friends will also get some cash for the coming valentine’s day, and my sisters will also get a gift of their worth. Thanx for reading...i appreciate it!!!
Friday, January 30, 2009
The Credit Crunch...a global cookie with a bad taste Pt.1
36 hours in September changed the world. When investment bank Lehman Brothers collapsed, the credit crunch became a global financial crisis.
What is Credit Crunch?
Credit crunch is a reduction in the general availability of loans (or credit) or a sudden tightening of the conditions required to obtain a loan from the banks.
But for the lay man, it simply means the Banks have no cash to give anybody..as put up by the Guardian, british tabloid, "no new cash, unless we have boardroom pay cuts." Cash which existed in the system has been turned into toxic assets, known to my 6 year old friend as debt, an amount written in books but doesn't exist.
Root Cause?
There is an old saying in the banking business that: Lending is the easy part. It’s getting the money back that’s hard.
The root causes for the economic crisis were too much debt, a culture of short-term rewards for long-term risk-taking and fatally flawed mathematical risk models. And plain old greed. As stated by Sharan Burrow, head of the Australian Council of Trade Unions "The party is over for corporate greed."
The Big Mouths

While American and European households were borrowing up to the hilt, emerging ones were tucking away their savings. While rich-country banks were piling into ever-riskier assets, Emerging-economies had their banks keeping their holdings of such assets small. While the developed countries used credit cards, developing countries preferred debit cards.
Kaupthing Bank hf, one of three failed Icelandic banks under government control, lent about 310 million pounds ($460 million) to U.K. customers to spend on sailing boats and planes. The “corporate book” of Kaupthing’s London unit totaled 824 million pounds and also lent about 16 million pounds on “football” deals.
Pls take a min to find out the worth of assets of all banks in Ghana.
But who will suffer
A toxic cloud has now moved from Wall Street to main street and will impact the jobs, wages and pensions of ordinary working people...to be continued...